Category Archives: The Michael Dukes Show

This week (November 14, 2017) on the Michael Dukes Show

Each Tuesday morning at 7:20 am Alaska, I join KBYR AM700‘s The Michael Dukes Show to discuss the latest in Alaska oil, gas and fiscal issues. This week Michael and I discuss the recent announcement regarding the #AKLNG project and China, and the most stunning fiscal news to come out of the latest special session and what it means for the 2018 regular session and beyond to the election.

The segment is at the YouTube clip above. The full show is available from The Michael Dukes Show’s Soundcloud page.

For those interested, our YouTube home page, herecontains all of our recent radio appearancesonline and radio ads and other presentations. For those interested in a simplified audio version, we also post our radio segments to Soundcloud.  The fiscal segment from Tuesday’s show is available on Soundcloud here. For a collection of our past episodes on Soundcloud, go here.

This week (November 7, 2017) on the Michael Dukes Show

Each Tuesday morning at 7:20 am Alaska, I join KBYR AM700‘s The Michael Dukes Show to discuss the latest in Alaska oil, gas and fiscal issues. This week Michael and I discuss what the Oil Search acquisition says about Alaska oil & the Alaska Senate R’s disingenuous defense of the their fiscal plan (“we won’t vote for any taxes … except the one we voted for”).

The segment is at the YouTube clip above. The full show is available from The Michael Dukes Show’s Soundcloud page.

For those interested, our YouTube home page, herecontains all of our recent radio appearancesonline and radio ads and other presentations. For those interested in a simplified audio version, we also post our radio segments to Soundcloud.  The fiscal segment from Tuesday’s show is available on Soundcloud here. For a collection of our past episodes on Soundcloud, go here.

This week (October 31, 2017) on the Michael Dukes Show

Each Tuesday morning at 7:20 am Alaska, I join KBYR AM700‘s The Michael Dukes Show to discuss the latest in Alaska oil, gas and fiscal issues. This week Michael and I talk about the current #AKleg session, the surprises in DOR’s new preliminary revenue forecast & what effect they should have on state fiscal policy.

The segment is at the YouTube clip above. The full show is available from The Michael Dukes Show’s Soundcloud page.

For those interested, our YouTube home page, herecontains all of our recent radio appearancesonline and radio ads and other presentations. For those interested in a simplified audio version, we also post our radio segments to Soundcloud.  The fiscal segment from Tuesday’s show is available on Soundcloud here. For a collection of our past episodes on Soundcloud, go here.

Why the Administration’s revised 2017 Revenue Forecast calls into question the need for PFD cuts (or any other so-called “new revenue”) …

On Wednesday of this week the Department of Revenue published what they titled the “Preliminary Fall 2017 Revenue Forecast.”  A copy is available here,   https://goo.gl/kEFWzN.

While most have focused on the change reflected in the document from the Administration’s previous oil production and revenue forecasts, we think the largest and most important change is on a different line — the projected increase in realized FY 2018 earnings from the Permanent Fund.

Last Spring the Department projected $3.3 billion in realized Permanent Fund earnings for FY 2018 (https://goo.gl/5FvQNY at p. 4).  The Preliminary Fall Forecast now projects realized earnings at $4.4 billion, more than $1 billion more.

As we discussed in our turn yesterday as guest host of The Tom Anderson Show we think the revised revenue forecast calls into serious question the need for either PFD cuts or any other so-called “new revenue,” other than the implementation of Governor Hammond’s original 50/50 plan.

The segments where we discuss the Preliminary Fall forecast are at the link above.  For those that prefer to listen on Soundcloud, the audio is here,  https://goo.gl/7w6S3n.

This week (October 24, 2017) on the Michael Dukes Show

Each Tuesday morning at 7:20 am Alaska, I join KBYR AM700‘s The Michael Dukes Show to discuss the latest in Alaska oil, gas and fiscal issues. This week Michael and I discuss how the Administration misunderstands the cause of Alaska’s recession and as a consequence, the solution, and an update on the good and not as good news from the Alaska oil patch.

The segment is at the YouTube clip above. The full show is available from The Michael Dukes Show’s Soundcloud page.

For those interested, our YouTube home page, herecontains all of our recent radio appearancesonline and radio ads and other presentations. For those interested in a simplified audio version, we also post our radio segments to Soundcloud.  The fiscal segment from Tuesday’s show is available on Soundcloud here. For a collection of our past episodes on Soundcloud, go here.

This week (October 17, 2017) on the Michael Dukes Show

Each Tuesday morning at 7:20 am Alaska, I join KBYR AM700‘s The Michael Dukes Show to discuss the latest in Alaska oil, gas and fiscal issues. This week Michael and I discuss former Governor Murkowski’s recent piece on oil tax credits (what I have called the worst fiscal policy idea ever) and why a flat tax is the best approach among the new revenue options for restraining spending (the commentary we discuss is here: goo.gl/izo5hM).

The segment is at the YouTube clip above. The full show is available from The Michael Dukes Show’s Soundcloud page.

For those interested, our YouTube home page, herecontains all of our recent radio appearancesonline and radio ads and other presentations. For those interested in a simplified audio version, we also post our radio segments to Soundcloud.  The fiscal segment from Tuesday’s show is available on Soundcloud here. For a collection of our past episodes on Soundcloud, go here.

This week (October 10, 2017) on the Michael Dukes Show

Each Tuesday morning at 7:20 am Alaska, I join KBYR AM700‘s The Michael Dukes Show to discuss the latest in Alaska oil, gas and fiscal issues. This week Michael and I discuss whether a permanent PFD cut is a “done deal” (we don’t think so but time is running short on changing the outcome) and whether Alaskans are being played by the Top 20% and Senate R’s.

The segment is at the YouTube clip above. The full show is available from The Michael Dukes Show’s Soundcloud page.

For those interested, our YouTube home page, herecontains all of our recent radio appearancesonline and radio ads and other presentations. For those interested in a simplified audio version, we also post our radio segments to Soundcloud.  The fiscal segment from Tuesday’s show is available on Soundcloud here. For a collection of our past episodes on Soundcloud, go here.

This week (October 3, 2017) on the Michael Dukes Show

Each Tuesday morning at 7:20 am Alaska, I join KBYR AM700‘s The Michael Dukes Show to discuss the latest in Alaska oil, gas and fiscal issues. This week Michael and I discuss additional problems building on the horizon for state revenues and costs, and, if we need to go there (and it increasingly appears we do) why a flat tax is the best way to approach new revenues.

The segment is at the YouTube clip above. The full show is available from The Michael Dukes Show’s Soundcloud page.

For those interested, our YouTube home page, herecontains all of our recent radio appearancesonline and radio ads and other presentations. For those interested in a simplified audio version, we also post our radio segments to Soundcloud.  The fiscal segment from Tuesday’s show is available on Soundcloud here. For a collection of our past episodes on Soundcloud, go here.

This week (September 26, 2017) on the Michael Dukes Show

Each Tuesday morning at 7:20 am Alaska, I join KBYR AM700‘s The Michael Dukes Show to discuss the latest in Alaska oil and fiscal issues. This Tuesday I sat in for Michael as guest host for the day and used the entire 7am block to discuss fiscal policy. I start the hour with a 13 minute discussion of what we should take away from Michael’s discussion with Revenue Commissioner Sheldon Fisher the day before about what is driving the Administration’s fiscal policy (see The Administration’s ‘let them eat cake’ fiscal policy, https://goo.gl/tREW8F), and then former Rep. and current Lt. Gov. candidate Lynn Gattis joins for the remainder of the hour to take a deeper dive into fiscal issues.

The segment is at the YouTube clip above. Tuesday’s full show is available from The Michael Dukes Show’s Soundcloud page.

For those interested, our YouTube home page, here, contains all of our recent radio appearancesonline and radio ads and other presentations. For those interested in a simplified audio version, we also post our radio segments to Soundcloud.  The fiscal segment from Tuesday’s show is available on Soundcloud here. For a collection of our past episodes on Soundcloud, go here.

Alaska’s Current Fiscal Situation in 10 Minutes (Tom Anderson Show 9.21.2017)

Occasionally I sit in as a guest host on morning talk radio.  This morning I sat in for Tom Anderson as guest host of KVNT 92.5FM/1020 AM‘s The Tom Anderson Show.  During the program I took 10 minutes to summarize what happened this past #AKleg session when push came to shove over making additional cuts to government spending, and what that means for Alaska fiscal policy going forward.  The goal was to bring those listeners interested up to speed on why things seem to be playing out the way they are on those issues.

The segment is at the YouTube clip above. For those interested, our YouTube home page with recent segments from other radio appearancesonline and radio ads and other presentations is here. For those interested in a simplified audio version, we also post our radio segments to Soundcloud.  Today’s segment on the Tom Anderson Show is available on Soundcloud here. For a collection of our past episodes on Soundcloud, go here.