Alaska Fiscal Policy| Where We Have Gone Wrong

In March, the University of Alaska Anchorage’s highly respected Institute of Social and Economic Research (“ISER”) published a paper entitled “Managing Alaska’s Petroleum Nest Egg for Maximum Sustainable Yield” (.pdf). The paper is the continuation of an effort started last year (.pdf) by ISER’s Scott Goldsmith to determine the appropriate level of annual state government spending, if the objective is generally to maintain a consistent, inflation adjusted level of state spending over time.

The purpose of ISER’s effort is much the same as retirement planning for an individual. In retirement planning the goal is identify the maximum level of annual spending from an individual’s retirement account that will allow the generation of a relatively consistent stream of annual income for the rest of the retiree’s life. The ISER study is designed to determine the level of spending that is prudent in order to ensure that future Alaskans continue to receive the same level of government goods and services that are available to current Alaskans.

ISER’s terminology – “maximum sustainable yield” – is derived from the Alaska Constitution. Article VIII, Section 4 of the Alaska Constitution provides that “Fish, forests, wildlife, grasslands, and all other replenishable resources belonging to the State shall be utilized, developed, and maintained on the sustained yield principle, subject to preferences among beneficial uses.” Continue reading

Author Steve Coll Talks About ExxonMobil on “Talk of Alaska” (updated 5.18.2012)

An excellent discussion between Steve Coll and Steve Heimel of APRN’s “Talk of Alaska,” focused on Exxon’s role and position in the state.

One of Coll’s observations:  ”ExxonMobil has this attitude they want low political risk and high political stability.  That suits their very rigid, long term business model. And, they regard Alaska as a place that they just can’t seem to figure out politically.  They often talk about Alaska the same way they talk about other political environments they can’t seem to manage.”

To the same point from the book, talking about the early years of the second Bush Administration:

Compared with other oil majors, however, ExxonMobil was no longer a dominant player inside the United States. Chevron had inherited some of the longest-lived of Standard Oil’s American oil properties, in California, and Chevron and British Petroleum had moved more boldly than Exxon into the Gulf of Mexico when leasing opened during the Clinton administration. Exxon had opportunities to exploit oil and natural gas in Alaska, but held back from some expensive deals because Raymond had learned after the Valdez that the political risks posed by Alaska’s frontier-minded political culture and populist governors were comparable to those in West Africa.

Interested in Alaska oil policy?  This interview offers an excellent insight into an important piece of the puzzle.

Recommended Reading (and Listening): “Private Empire: ExxonMobil and American Power”

An important new book by Steve Coll, a favorite author whose earlier works on the breakup of AT&T and the disastrous acquisition by Texaco of Getty Oil had significant effects on my views.

Coll is hitting the interview circuit this week promoting his most recent book.  For Alaskans, one interview of special significance is this morning’s discussion with Steve Inskeep of NPR’s Morning edition on “How The Valdez Oil Spill Shaped ExxonMobil.”  Not only is the link to the Valdez oil spill of interest, of even more significance is Coll’s insight into how Exxon thinks and acts.  Coll also had second, longer interview focused on other aspects of the book yesterday with Terry Gross on NPR’s Fresh Air.

One View of the Future, and its Not Good for Alaska

The Alaska World Affairs Council (AWAC) lunch yesterday was interesting — and important.  The speaker was Lou Pugliaresi, President of the Energy Policy Research Foundation (EPRINC).  The presentation was part of AWAC’s recent “Oil & Gas Series.”  The title was ”The Coming Renaissance in North American Oil and Gas.”

While AWAC likely will post the slides Mr. Pugliaresi used at yesterday’s presentation, they largely were drawn from the set he used  earlier this month before the Annual Washington Energy Policy Conference hosted by Center for Strategic & International Studies.  That presentation is available here.

Continue reading

Alaska Oil| Looking at the Special Session … UAA Volleyball and Dick Clark’s Legacy

Dave Stieren asked me to come on his  afternoon talk radio show yesterday to start a periodic discussion on Alaska oil issues.  In the course of addressing the issues which are on the agenda for the Special Session, we also touched on the University of Alaska Anchorage Volleyball Team, Dick Clark’s legacy and started toward — but didn’t quite reach, yet — bluegrass music.  The discussion is at the first half of the third hour yesterday.   The podcast is available at The Dave Stieren Show Hour 3 (4.19.2012).

The Alaska Dispatch Asks the Wrong Questions

In the last two legislative sessions preceding this one, the Alaska Dispatch offered some of the best political reporting available in this state on oil issues. Rena Delbridge during the 2010 session, and then Patti Epler during the 2011 session, were insightful, accurate and balanced. Both also were largely resident in Juneau during the sessions and thus, were able to keep their finger on the pulse of the developments as they occurred.

This year, the Dispatch has not stationed any reporters in Juneau, and more importantly, apparently has given up on reporting the news in favor of providing opinionated, and not altogether well informed, commentary. For those who had come to rely on the Dispatch as an excellent source of news mixed with insightful commentary, the result is disappointing. In many respects on this issue, the Dispatch is turning itself into a mirror version of the old Alaska Standard or the current Anchorage Daily Plant, a trite, predictable outlet for a single minded point of view. The result is that in reporting hard news on oil issues, this year the Dispatch has easily been passed by the “old guard” media, like the Anchorage Daily News, Fairbanks News-Miner and Juneau Empire. Continue reading

Why Marginal Tax Rates Matter to the “Average Guy”

In an article responding to recent columns by Andrew Halcro and me, the Alaska Dispatch’s Amanda Coyne concludes that “Alaska’s oil tax myths, surprise, remain busted.” In reaching the conclusion, the Dispatch’s Coyne argues that “[b]y standards of the average guy — the one who isn’t getting rich working for the oil companies, the one who doesn’t have future political aspirations, and the one who, in fact, makes up nearly all of our majestic state — the oil-tax myths we busted remain busted.”

While I didn’t get the reference at first, a friend pointed out that the Dispatch’s Coyne apparently was attempting to be insulting at the same time as she was summing up her argument. Because I never have – and never will – run for office (heck, I couldn’t even get elected to the Board of the Alliance), I suppose I am the “one” she references who is “getting rich working for the oil companies.” Given the level of my contributions to, among others, the University of Alaska Anchorage, I am not sure my tax accountant would agree, but whatever. Continue reading

2.19 – 25.2012 Perkins Coie’s Weekly Alaska Oil & Gas Newsletter

‎2.19-25.2012 Perkins Coie’s Weekly Alaska Oil & Gas Newsletter,   http://ow.ly/9iyDy. Recap of the week’s events goes final. Lead, “US approves Shell oil spill response plan for Alaska offshore wells.” For daily news, see the “Daily Articles & News” column (lower right side) at http://bgkeithley.com/. Daily headlines and links from Upstream Online, Oil & Gas Journal, Petroleum Economist, Platt’s, LNG World News, Fuel Fix, plus.

Busting the “Myth Busters”: Where the Alaska Dispatch Went Wrong

[Please also read the Addendum following the article added Feb. 28, 2012.]

In a highly-promoted two part series last week titled “Myth-busting claims in Alaska’s oil tax debate,” the Alaska Dispatch identified what they “consider the most duplicitous oil-tax myths being perpetrated surrounding the oil-tax debate raging in Juneau.”  Part 1 of the Dispatch piece is published here; part 2 is here.

The series doesn’t attempt to address “myths” existing on both sides of the debate – and there are.  Unabashedly, the Dispatch focuses only on what the authors identify as those “myths that have arisen, one way or the other, from the oil industry and their allies.”  So much for balanced reporting.

Later in the week, Andrew Halcro took on the Dispatch’s alleged myths one-by-one in his blog in a piece titled, “C’mon.”  Interestingly, while the Dispatch has run other of Halcro’s pieces on its pages, to date it has not published this rebuttal.  For those interested in balance, Halcro’s piece is a good beginning. Continue reading

Perkins Coie’s Daily Alaska Oil & Gas Newsletter Becomes Perkins Coie’s Weekly

We have received a great deal of positive response over the course of the last several months as we have published Perkins Coie’s Daily Alaska Oil & Gas Newsletter. The time required to edit and publish the daily edition, however, takes its toll on the ability to offer periodic, deeper commentary on the significance of the news items flashing daily across the screen and more importantly, taking a deeper cut at offering commentary – and solutions – on the problems that increasingly are confronting the development of Alaska’s oil and gas resources.

For that reason, effective this week we are converting the daily newsletter to a weekly. The newsletter will be refreshed each Sunday, with articles from the prior week, and then populated as the week goes along with additional articles from the current week. If we do it right, the result each Sunday will be a magazine, of sorts, capturing the most important stories and events from the week. And along the way during the week will be an evolving edition, capturing the most significant stories as the week progresses. We will tweet at PerkinsCoieAKOG periodically during the week when we have added a new set of stories we think are worth reviewing, and on Sunday when the new edition is ready to start the week.

For those of you interested in continuing to stay abreast of developments on a daily basis, we would suggest sometime during each day reviewing the headlines from various oil & gas and Alaska news services that are contained down the lower right side of the front page of “Thoughts on Alaska Oil & Gas.” Those feeds have been the source of many of the articles that have appeared in another form in the daily newsletter. The only difference is that the articles are not ordered and edited for significance as the daily newsletter has been. A quick glance down the column will give you a sense of the same thing, however – the news and analyses that are driving the day. Continue reading